León vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
UAT
3 - 2
LEO
39%
26%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
UAT
1 - 0
LEO
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LEO
1 - 2
CDT
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
MEX
0 - 2
LEO
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
LEO
1 - 0
PUM
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 1
PUM
29%
29%
43%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 0
DUR
34%
29%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
MON
3 - 2
ORI
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ORI
0 - 1
TEC
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
JAG
2 - 1
ORI
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |