León vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TIJ
0 - 0
LEO
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 3
JAG
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 3
LEO
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
5 - 1
TOL
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 2
ZAC
84%
11%
6%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AME
4 - 1
MOR
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
QRO
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 3
LEO
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TIJ
1 - 1
MOR
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 0
MOR
30%
25%
45%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |