Clausura Ascenso MX Final
Global 7-3
León vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2012 |
LOB
3 - 3
LEO
29%
26%
46%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 0
UAT
72%
18%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
UAT
0 - 1
LEO
34%
26%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 2
MER
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 3
LEO
23%
25%
52%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2012 |
LOB
3 - 3
LEO
29%
26%
46%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
LOB
55%
26%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
LOB
3 - 0
NEC
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
LOB
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 0
TOR
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |