León vs Jaguares FC analysis

León Jaguares FC
78 ELO 76
21.5% Tilt 9.5%
414º General ELO ranking 787º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
56.3%
León
23.2%
Draw
20.5%
Jaguares FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
León
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.5%
Win probability
Jaguares FC
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
León
-9%
-2%
Jaguares FC

ELO progression

León
Jaguares FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

León
León
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2012
AME
América
2 - 1
León
LEO
56%
22%
21%
78 81 3 0
14 Oct. 2012
LEO
León
2 - 0
Tigres UANL
TIG
44%
25%
30%
77 83 6 +1
07 Oct. 2012
PAC
Pachuca
1 - 1
León
LEO
51%
25%
25%
77 80 3 0
04 Oct. 2012
LEO
León
2 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
54%
25%
22%
77 79 2 0
29 Sep. 2012
LEO
León
2 - 0
Monterrey
MON
40%
25%
34%
76 83 7 +1

Matches

Jaguares FC
Jaguares FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2012
JAG
Jaguares FC
2 - 0
Puebla
PUE
49%
24%
26%
76 75 1 0
15 Oct. 2012
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
1 - 1
Jaguares FC
JAG
46%
28%
27%
76 78 2 0
08 Oct. 2012
JAG
Jaguares FC
4 - 0
San Luis
SNL
55%
24%
21%
76 73 3 0
05 Oct. 2012
MOR
CA Morelia
1 - 1
Jaguares FC
JAG
59%
23%
18%
76 82 6 0
29 Sep. 2012
JAG
Jaguares FC
1 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
38%
27%
36%
75 83 8 +1
X