León vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
NEC
2 - 1
LEO
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
LEO
2 - 2
DOR
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 1
LEO
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LEO
5 - 1
CAZ
61%
22%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
MER
2 - 0
LEO
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
IRA
2 - 1
PUM
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
IRA
2 - 1
LOB
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 3
IRA
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
IRA
4 - 0
GUE
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
VER
2 - 1
IRA
64%
21%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |