León vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
PAC
5 - 1
LEO
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
AME
1 - 1
LEO
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
PAC
2 - 1
LEO
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
PAC
52%
23%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
LEO
4 - 1
MOR
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CIM
2 - 0
TOR
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 2
ATL
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
TOR
54%
24%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 0
TOR
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
AUR
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |