León vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VER
2 - 5
LEO
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 1
LAP
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 2
LEO
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LEO
3 - 0
PUM
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
UDG
0 - 0
LEO
22%
25%
53%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 2
MER
57%
25%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 1
TOR
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 0
ALT
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAZ
2 - 3
TOR
35%
27%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
UAT
1 - 1
TOR
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |