León vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
MON
4 - 1
LEO
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
LEO
0 - 2
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
LEO
2 - 1
NEC
34%
27%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
PUE
2 - 2
LEO
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
PUM
1 - 1
LEO
66%
20%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
TOR
3 - 4
PUM
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOR
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
REB
2 - 1
TOR
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
ATS
1 - 5
TOR
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
TOR
2 - 1
IRA
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |