León vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 1
LEO
54%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 3
LEO
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 1
QRO
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PUE
1 - 1
LEO
26%
28%
46%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 1
BOL
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
JWI
1 - 2
BOL
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
BOL
2 - 1
EME
36%
24%
40%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BOL
4 - 3
UNI
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
BLO
0 - 1
BOL
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
BOL
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |