Leobendorf vs Mauerwerk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
4º
15º
9º
13
4º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 55 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 54 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 51 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 48 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 45 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 41 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 41 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 40 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 35 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 35 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
16º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 77.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leobendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SPO
5 - 2
LEO
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LEO
5 - 3
ELE
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 1
FAV
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 0
LEO
46%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
LEO
0 - 0
MAN
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mauerwerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
MAU
1 - 2
AUS
17%
20%
63%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 1
MAU
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
MAU
0 - 3
KRE
36%
24%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MAN
5 - 0
MAU
68%
19%
14%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
MAU
0 - 3
NEU
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |