Leobendorf vs Marchfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
13º
2º
12
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
13 | 60 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
7 | 48 |
2º
|
7% | |
|
|
4º
|
12 | 48 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 47 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 46 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 44 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 44 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 43 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 42 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 39 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 38 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 35 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 33 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 27 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 25 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leobendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
KRE
2 - 1
LEO
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
NEU
3 - 0
LEO
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LEO
0 - 1
DON
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WIE
1 - 2
LEO
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LEO
5 - 0
SVG
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +3 |
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
ELE
47%
23%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 3
SVH
19%
20%
62%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 1
MAN
14%
20%
67%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
KRE
60%
20%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
FAV
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |