Leoben vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leoben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
LAS
2 - 3
LBN
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2004 |
LBN
0 - 1
KAP
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
ALT
3 - 3
LBN
39%
25%
36%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
LBN
1 - 1
GKN
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
UNT
5 - 2
LBN
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
WOR
0 - 2
FCK
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
WOR
0 - 0
SCA
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
GKN
1 - 2
WOR
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
WOR
1 - 0
KAP
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
LAS
3 - 3
WOR
54%
23%
22%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |