Leoben vs Weiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
1º
1º
7
10º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
21 | 70 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 60 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 50 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 49 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 46 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 46 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 46 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 45 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 39 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 39 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 39 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 38 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 37 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 29 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 23 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 20 |
16º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
82.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
17.5% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leoben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
DLB
3 - 4
LBN
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
LBN
5 - 2
TRE
80%
15%
5%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
LBN
25%
26%
50%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LBN
6 - 0
VOC
77%
16%
6%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 2
LBN
14%
23%
64%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Weiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
OED
5 - 1
WEI
39%
23%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
WEI
4 - 0
ANN
64%
18%
18%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
WEI
0 - 5
WAC
57%
20%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WEI
3 - 5
SVW
63%
19%
18%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
DLB
2 - 2
WEI
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |