Leoben vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leoben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
AWM
4 - 0
LBN
68%
18%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1971 |
LBN
1 - 0
SIM
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1971 |
VIE
1 - 1
LBN
67%
18%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
LBN
4 - 0
WIE
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 1971 |
BIS
1 - 3
LBN
25%
23%
52%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
STR
2 - 1
BIS
82%
14%
5%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1971 |
LIN
4 - 0
STR
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1971 |
STR
1 - 1
GRA
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
SSW
3 - 1
STR
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1971 |
STR
3 - 1
AUS
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |