Leoben vs FC Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
51.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leoben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
LBN
2 - 0
VOC
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
FCB
6 - 0
LBN
66%
20%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
LBN
4 - 0
WEL
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
GLE
0 - 0
LBN
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2011 |
LBN
2 - 1
VOI
63%
21%
17%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
LUS
1 - 0
FCB
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
LUS
1 - 3
GRO
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
SKN
3 - 0
LUS
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
LUS
2 - 5
WAC
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
VIE
4 - 2
LUS
41%
26%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |