Lenzburg vs Liestal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
38.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lenzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BST
1 - 2
LEN
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 1
ROT
57%
20%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 1
DIE
20%
19%
61%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
DUL
2 - 0
LEN
56%
20%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 2
ILI
84%
11%
6%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LIE
2 - 1
DUL
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ILI
0 - 3
LIE
11%
15%
74%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
LIE
2 - 0
AAR
24%
21%
55%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +3 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SCH
5 - 1
LIE
48%
22%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LIE
3 - 2
HON
24%
22%
54%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |