Lenzburg vs Hongg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
42.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lenzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
KRU
1 - 3
LEN
34%
23%
43%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LEN
2 - 3
OLT
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
AAR
3 - 2
LEN
55%
20%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
LEN
3 - 0
ROT
67%
18%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
DUL
5 - 0
LEN
29%
22%
49%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
HON
3 - 0
FCG
88%
9%
3%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PAJ
2 - 0
HON
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
KRU
2 - 2
HON
17%
20%
64%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
HON
3 - 2
OLT
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
AAR
2 - 1
HON
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |