Lenzburg vs Dürrenast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lenzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MOU
4 - 0
LEN
61%
20%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LEN
6 - 0
WOH
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
FCK
2 - 0
LEN
47%
23%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
THU
2 - 0
LEN
52%
22%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LEN
1 - 0
POR
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dürrenast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
DUR
1 - 4
THU
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
POR
0 - 2
DUR
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
DUR
1 - 3
LER
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
OLT
1 - 4
DUR
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
DUR
1 - 2
SCH
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |