Lenzburg vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
50.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lenzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SCH
0 - 3
LEN
58%
19%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
LEN
0 - 4
HON
26%
21%
54%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
OLT
1 - 2
LEN
58%
20%
22%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LEN
2 - 1
SUB
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
PAJ
3 - 0
LEN
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
AAR
4 - 5
DUL
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ILI
2 - 4
AAR
11%
15%
75%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
DIE
3 - 0
AAR
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
AAR
2 - 2
SCH
77%
14%
10%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
HON
2 - 2
AAR
52%
21%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |