Lentigione vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lentigione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 2
RAV
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MEZ
0 - 0
LEN
22%
21%
57%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 1
SDT
67%
18%
14%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 0
LEN
18%
20%
62%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -3 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LEN
3 - 2
URI
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 1
USP
39%
28%
33%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SDA
5 - 0
VIR
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 0
SCA
48%
25%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
RAV
0 - 0
VIR
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
VIR
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |