Lentigione vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lentigione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 1
LEN
26%
22%
52%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 0
RAV
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
DEL
1 - 2
LEN
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
RIB
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 1
VIL
83%
13%
4%
|
26 | 77 | 51 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 5
FOR
17%
22%
61%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ACC
1 - 2
VIL
26%
26%
48%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
VIR
30%
25%
44%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |