Lentigione vs Villabiagio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lentigione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 0
LEN
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LEN
0 - 3
FOR
33%
28%
40%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
PIA
0 - 0
LEN
50%
26%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 0
CAS
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
RIM
2 - 1
LEN
66%
21%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Villabiagio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
SAM
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
USD
1 - 1
VIL
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
TUT
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ACS
2 - 1
VIL
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 0
VIL
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |