Lentigione vs Riccione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
10º
4º
19
4º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 71 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 59 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 37 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
18º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
96% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 40.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 37% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lentigione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
LEN
42%
27%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 3
LEN
35%
25%
39%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LEN
0 - 0
PIS
70%
18%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PIA
1 - 1
LEN
60%
23%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LEN
1 - 1
ASD
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Riccione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
RIC
1 - 1
RAV
24%
25%
52%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
RIC
1 - 1
PRO
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
COR
3 - 3
RIC
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RIC
0 - 1
CIT
82%
12%
7%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 1
RIC
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |