Lentigione vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lentigione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SER
1 - 2
LEN
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 0
LEN
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
LEN
5 - 1
ACP
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
LEN
1 - 1
SAM
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
LEN
17%
21%
62%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
VFC
2 - 2
DER
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 2
DER
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
DER
2 - 1
PDH
16%
19%
65%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +3 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 1
DER
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
BOR
2 - 1
DER
37%
26%
38%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |