Europa League 1/32
Global 5-2
Lens vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
TRO
0 - 1
LEN
27%
28%
45%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
LEN
1 - 0
MPL
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
BAS
2 - 0
LEN
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
AUX
3 - 2
LEN
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1999 |
LEN
2 - 1
MTA
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
RJC
0 - 1
VIT
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
VIT
1 - 0
BVO
82%
13%
6%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
FEY
0 - 0
VIT
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
VIT
5 - 1
NEC
78%
15%
8%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1999 |
VIT
0 - 0
BMA
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |