Lens vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1980 |
ANG
2 - 1
LEN
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
LEN
1 - 1
STR
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
ASS
3 - 1
LEN
73%
17%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1980 |
LEN
4 - 0
ASN
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1980 |
LEN
3 - 0
BRE
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1980 |
VAL
1 - 1
PSG
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
BRE
1 - 5
VAL
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
VAL
1 - 1
SOC
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1980 |
STL
3 - 0
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 1980 |
VAL
1 - 0
NAN
25%
28%
46%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +2 |