Lens vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
STL
1 - 3
LEN
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
ASN
1 - 1
LEN
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1976 |
LEN
3 - 3
GIR
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
NIC
1 - 0
LEN
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1976 |
LEN
2 - 2
REI
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
VAL
5 - 0
REI
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
NIC
2 - 1
VAL
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1976 |
VAL
1 - 1
ASN
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
NÎM
2 - 2
VAL
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1976 |
VAL
0 - 2
ANG
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |