Lens vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1967 |
GIR
6 - 1
LEN
61%
21%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1967 |
LEN
1 - 3
NAN
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1967 |
ASS
3 - 0
LEN
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1967 |
REN
1 - 0
LEN
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1967 |
LYO
0 - 0
LEN
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1967 |
VAL
0 - 1
STR
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1967 |
MON
0 - 1
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1967 |
VAL
1 - 2
MET
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1967 |
SED
1 - 1
VAL
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1967 |
FCR
1 - 1
VAL
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |