Lens vs US Boulogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2009 |
BRE
3 - 1
LEN
22%
26%
53%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2009 |
LEN
1 - 0
REI
74%
18%
8%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
SED
2 - 2
LEN
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
LEN
1 - 0
BAS
71%
19%
10%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
MPL
0 - 1
LEN
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2009 |
USB
1 - 0
STR
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
TOU
3 - 1
USB
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
USB
0 - 1
AJA
59%
24%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
ANG
1 - 5
USB
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
USB
1 - 0
TRO
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |