Lens vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 1
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
LEN
0 - 1
SOC
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
LEN
0 - 1
ORL
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
STA
0 - 1
LEN
9%
16%
74%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
LEN
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
TFC
1 - 0
TRO
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
TRO
1 - 1
ASS
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
TRO
1 - 0
LIL
24%
28%
48%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
ANG
3 - 1
TRO
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
TRO
0 - 1
GIR
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |