Lens vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2001 |
LEN
0 - 0
LYO
51%
25%
25%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
LEN
4 - 0
NÎM
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2000 |
AUX
3 - 2
LEN
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
LEN
2 - 2
GIR
48%
25%
28%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
TFC
1 - 0
LEN
31%
29%
41%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
TRO
2 - 1
LIL
45%
28%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
TRO
3 - 0
LUS
62%
23%
16%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2000 |
PSG
0 - 0
TRO
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
TRO
1 - 0
LYO
29%
28%
43%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
AUX
2 - 2
TRO
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |