Lens vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
MET
0 - 1
LEN
62%
20%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1976 |
LEN
1 - 1
NAN
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
ASS
3 - 0
LEN
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
LEN
1 - 0
VAL
69%
19%
13%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
STL
1 - 3
LEN
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
TRO
4 - 1
REI
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
NIC
2 - 0
TRO
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
TRO
3 - 1
NÎM
51%
27%
23%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
ASN
2 - 0
TRO
67%
19%
13%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
TRO
0 - 3
LYO
46%
26%
27%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |