Lens vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1975 |
GIR
2 - 0
LEN
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1975 |
MAR
4 - 0
LEN
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
LEN
3 - 2
PSG
54%
22%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1975 |
BAS
0 - 0
LEN
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
LEN
4 - 0
LYO
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1975 |
TRO
1 - 2
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1975 |
PSG
0 - 0
TRO
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
TRO
2 - 1
BAS
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1975 |
LYO
2 - 1
TRO
73%
17%
11%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
TRO
2 - 0
REN
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |