Lens vs Tours analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
NIO
0 - 0
LEN
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 1
ARS
8%
17%
75%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
USB
1 - 1
LEN
27%
24%
49%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 1
WAA
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 0
MET
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
TOU
0 - 0
AJA
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
NIO
0 - 2
TOU
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
TOU
2 - 5
ASN
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
MET
2 - 1
TOU
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
TOU
1 - 2
NIO
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |