Lens vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
LEN
2 - 2
ANT
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1983 |
NAN
0 - 0
LEN
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1983 |
LEN
3 - 1
ASN
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
GIR
3 - 2
LEN
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
LEN
2 - 1
GEN
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
TFC
1 - 3
SPO
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1983 |
STL
1 - 0
TFC
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
TFC
3 - 1
NAN
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
TFC
2 - 0
FCR
56%
23%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
STR
1 - 3
TFC
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |