Lens vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1967 |
LEN
1 - 1
FCR
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1967 |
ASS
4 - 0
LEN
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1967 |
LEN
2 - 1
NÎM
63%
21%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
LIL
2 - 1
LEN
47%
23%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
LEN
1 - 1
SOC
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1967 |
GIR
2 - 1
TFC
63%
21%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1967 |
TFC
2 - 2
LYO
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1967 |
STR
4 - 0
TFC
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1967 |
TFC
1 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
FCR
0 - 2
TFC
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |