Lens vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1966 |
RED
1 - 2
LEN
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1966 |
LEN
1 - 0
CAN
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1966 |
REN
4 - 1
LEN
56%
20%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1966 |
LEN
0 - 0
MON
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
SOC
3 - 2
LEN
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1966 |
LYO
0 - 1
TFC
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
TFC
2 - 0
STR
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1966 |
MON
2 - 3
TFC
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1966 |
TFC
6 - 1
CAN
69%
20%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
REN
2 - 1
TFC
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |