Lens vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
STR
3 - 0
LEN
51%
23%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
LEN
2 - 2
FCR
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
GIR
0 - 0
LEN
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
LEN
2 - 1
SPO
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
SFP
0 - 0
LEN
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
TFC
3 - 2
LYO
46%
24%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
TFC
1 - 0
NÎM
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
STR
5 - 3
TFC
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
TFC
0 - 1
FCR
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
GIR
4 - 2
TFC
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |