Lens vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1962 |
LEN
1 - 0
SED
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1962 |
LEN
1 - 0
REN
64%
20%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1962 |
ASN
1 - 0
LEN
50%
23%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1962 |
MON
2 - 1
LEN
60%
21%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1962 |
LEN
2 - 1
ASS
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1962 |
FCR
0 - 1
TFC
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1962 |
RAC
2 - 0
TFC
80%
12%
9%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1962 |
TFC
6 - 1
MET
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
TFC
6 - 1
SOC
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1962 |
TFC
0 - 1
SFP
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |