Lens vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2000 |
GIR
1 - 2
LEN
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
LEN
4 - 3
LYO
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2000 |
LEN
1 - 2
ARS
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2000 |
PSG
4 - 1
LEN
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
LEN
1 - 0
MET
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2000 |
STR
0 - 1
ASS
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
LHA
0 - 1
STR
35%
27%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
STR
1 - 1
SED
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
ASN
2 - 3
STR
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
STR
3 - 1
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |