Lens vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
LEN
2 - 1
AUX
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1986 |
REN
2 - 0
LEN
39%
27%
33%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
LEN
0 - 0
NAN
41%
27%
33%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1986 |
SPO
0 - 0
LEN
43%
27%
31%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
LEN
3 - 1
SOC
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
STR
2 - 1
STL
49%
27%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1986 |
STR
1 - 0
PSG
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1986 |
ASN
1 - 1
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1986 |
STR
2 - 0
NIC
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1986 |
BRE
2 - 1
STR
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |