Lens vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1984 |
REN
1 - 1
LEN
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1984 |
LEN
1 - 0
BAS
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1983 |
AUX
4 - 0
LEN
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
LEN
0 - 3
PSG
54%
23%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1983 |
AND
1 - 0
LEN
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1984 |
GIR
2 - 0
STR
70%
18%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1984 |
STR
1 - 1
ASN
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1983 |
NÎM
0 - 3
STR
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
STR
0 - 0
SOC
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
REN
3 - 0
STR
51%
26%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |