Lens vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1980 |
LIL
2 - 1
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1980 |
LEN
5 - 0
BAS
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1980 |
LYO
4 - 1
LEN
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1980 |
LEN
0 - 0
ASN
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1980 |
GIR
5 - 1
LEN
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1980 |
STR
2 - 0
SOC
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1980 |
STL
3 - 1
STR
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1980 |
STR
0 - 0
MON
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1980 |
MET
4 - 1
STR
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1980 |
STR
0 - 2
ASS
45%
27%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |