Lens vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1965 |
FCR
0 - 1
LEN
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1965 |
LEN
4 - 1
ASS
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1965 |
LEN
3 - 2
GIR
58%
22%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1965 |
SPO
1 - 3
LEN
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
LEN
5 - 2
SFP
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1965 |
STR
0 - 5
MUD
33%
23%
44%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1965 |
STR
0 - 1
ANG
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1965 |
STR
1 - 1
NAN
57%
20%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
TFC
3 - 1
STR
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1965 |
STR
3 - 2
NÎM
54%
22%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |