Lens vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
LYO
1 - 0
LEN
72%
18%
11%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
LEN
3 - 1
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
LEN
2 - 1
LMU
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
LIL
1 - 0
LEN
67%
20%
14%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
COM
0 - 1
LEN
14%
21%
65%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
BRE
2 - 1
CHA
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
TFC
0 - 2
BRE
62%
24%
14%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
NAN
1 - 4
BRE
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2010 |
BRE
3 - 1
ARL
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
PON
0 - 1
BRE
13%
23%
64%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |