Lens vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1987 |
LIL
1 - 1
LEN
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1987 |
LEN
3 - 1
SPO
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1987 |
GIR
5 - 2
LEN
73%
18%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1987 |
LEN
0 - 0
CAN
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1987 |
MON
3 - 0
LEN
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1987 |
BRE
2 - 1
MAR
39%
28%
32%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1987 |
AUX
4 - 0
BRE
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1987 |
BRE
0 - 0
PSG
46%
26%
27%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1987 |
BRE
2 - 1
STL
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1987 |
NIC
2 - 0
BRE
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |