Lens vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
AUX
3 - 1
LEN
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1986 |
LEN
0 - 2
STL
67%
21%
13%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
MON
2 - 1
LEN
58%
23%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
LEN
3 - 0
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
LEN
1 - 0
PSG
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
BRE
2 - 0
ASN
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1986 |
MAR
2 - 2
BRE
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
BRE
0 - 0
SOC
50%
25%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
GIR
1 - 2
BRE
74%
17%
10%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1986 |
BRE
2 - 1
REN
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |