Lens vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1982 |
MET
0 - 0
LEN
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
LEN
3 - 2
SOC
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1982 |
PSG
2 - 1
LEN
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
LEN
0 - 0
MON
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
ASS
3 - 1
LEN
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
BRE
0 - 3
PSG
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
ASS
1 - 0
BRE
83%
11%
6%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
BRE
2 - 1
SOC
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1982 |
MON
0 - 0
BRE
81%
12%
7%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1982 |
BRE
2 - 0
MET
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |