Lens vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
18.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1993 |
LYO
3 - 1
LEN
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1993 |
LEN
2 - 0
MET
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1993 |
TFC
0 - 0
LEN
48%
28%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1993 |
TFC
2 - 0
LEN
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1993 |
LEN
2 - 0
MPL
38%
31%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1993 |
SPO
1 - 2
LHA
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1993 |
NÎM
0 - 1
SPO
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1993 |
SPO
1 - 2
AUX
23%
29%
48%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1993 |
SPO
2 - 0
TFC
43%
29%
28%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1993 |
LYO
1 - 1
SPO
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |