Lens vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
24.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1988 |
LEN
3 - 1
NIO
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1988 |
PSG
4 - 1
LEN
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1988 |
LEN
2 - 0
TFC
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1988 |
MPL
4 - 0
LEN
61%
22%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1988 |
LEN
0 - 0
LHA
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1988 |
NIC
0 - 2
SPO
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1988 |
SPO
5 - 2
NAN
38%
30%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1988 |
RAC
0 - 0
SPO
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1988 |
SPO
1 - 1
ASS
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1988 |
BRE
1 - 0
SPO
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |